Weather/Climate - Hydrologic model coupling
A review of fully coupled atmosphere-hydrology simulations
in this paper, the authors analyzed publications regarding atmosperic model and hydrologic model interaction to reflect the challenges as well as opportunities for present-day model coupling strategies. They mentioned some points:
- Two-way coupling processes
- Scale dependence
- improvement of model parameters and uncertainties
- parameter transfer and regionalization
- hyper-resolution simulation.
Land-Atmosphere coupling
Soil moisture and atmosphere feedback
Positive feedback
Marshall Shepherd - Brown Ocean
A soil moisture–rainfall feedback mechanism 1. Theory and observations
A theoritical examination or explaination of how soil moisture impact rainfall, one of the pioneering work to address such.
The role of anomalous soil moisture on the inland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin (2007)
Impacts of Soil Moisture on the Numerical Simulation of a Post-Landfall Storm
The authors suggested the increased soil moisture with SLAB scheme before storm’s landfall tends to produce a weaker storm after landfall and has negative impacts on storm track simulation, because wetter soils tend to cool down ambient environment and thus resulting in a less conducive condition for storm maintanance.
SOM analysis showed that dry states are more likely to occur during monsoon season compared to wet states; however, the probability of genesis of MLPS during a wet-state day is about four times higher compared to a dry state day. These maps showed that in general, the mean inland penetration of wet-state MDs is longer than the MDs that form during dry state.
warmer, wetter (cooler, drier) land surface can intensify (weaken) the landfalling MDs over the Indian monsoon region
Detailed analysis of land-atmosphere interaction through water budget equation and formulation of recycling ratio.
They used reanalysis data to investigate the TCMI and non-TCMI storms associated with 2-week antecedent environments. It was found that TCMI storms present greater latent heat than non-TCMI storms. The ET 24-hour to storm trajectory is also much greater for TCMI.
A global spatiotemporal analysis of inland tropical cyclone maintenance or intensification
They classified historical TCs from 1979-2008 into warm-core TC, cold-core TC, and hybrid, and used MERRA to analyze meteorological variables. They found the 850 hPa temperature gradient to be significantly associated with TCMI, provided by latent heat fluxes.
Quantifying Surface Energy Fluxes in the Vicinity of Inland-Tracking Tropical Cyclones
They identified 4 storms globally and use a 1D soil model to resolve water transport with GLDAS as input forcing. They found the soil texture has large impact on heat release and thus the magnitude of re-intensification.
Landfalling TCs are more likely to intensify over regions with above average rainfall antecedent to the warmest months of the hurricane season, which allows soils to be sufficiently warm and moist to transfer energy back to the storm.
The authors use WRF to discuss the impact of Brown Ocean to extreme rainfall event for Hurricane Florence. They purposely changed land cover to which favors storm reintensification such as open water, etc.
Impact of Soil Moisture Initializations on WRF-Simulated North American Monsoon System
This study initializes soil moisture based on five sets of experiemnts: wet, dry, normal, GLDAS, and SMAP. It was found that initial soil moisture affects precipitation through modulating both surface energy partition and atmospheric circulation. It also showed the soil memory by defining how long it takes for the differences in soil moisture from the initializations to reach zero.
This study, authors looked into four scenarios with WRF Nature Hurricane simulation - Wet Rough Run, Wet Smooth RUn, Dry Rough Run, and Dry Smooth Run by perturbing both soil moisture and roughness length (because of changes in frictional velocity).
It was found that Wet Smooth run produce most intensive hurricanes by minimum pressure and wind speed. They also separated outer rainband and inner rain band to show the difference.
Influence of ASCAT soil moisture on prediction of track and intensity of landfall tropical cyclones
The authors assimilated ASCAT satellite soil moisture onto the coupled land-atmosphere model. They show the improvement of storm prediction by using observation in lieu of reanalysis data sets.
Soil heat extremes can outpace air temperature extremes Nat Clim Chan
In this article, the authors explained the soil moisture/temperature and air temperature feedback. But more importantly, they revealed that warm soil surface will contribute to heat extremes in the form of sensible heat, and such increasing trend in soil heat extremes is observed from in-situ measurements and satellite measures, and forecasted to increase in the future as well.
Negative feedback
Dry soils can intensify mesoscale convective systems PNAS
In this article, the authors composites ~6000 MCS events and analyzed the role that dry soils can reintensify the MCSs. How this works? Dry soils enhance sensible heat flux, although at the expense of latent heat flux. It deepens and warms PBL, creating a temperature gradient that is favorable for intense MCSs. At a synaptic scale, dry soils modulate moisture convergence via thermal wind and wind shear.
Feedback between the Land Surface and Rainfall at Convective Length Scales
The authors investigated the impact of 10-20 km scale MCS and how soil states reshape the development of MCS. They look at subsequent rainfall development and also the displacement from soil states to rainfall.
This study raises awareness that precipitation-soil-moisture feedback is highly dependent on convective parameterization in a numeric simulation, which may mislead the investigation. This is especially important when dealing with GCMs or RCMs which normally cannot resolve convective-scale precipitation.
Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall Nat. Commun.
The authors investigated both the positive feedback and negative feedback from satellite observed precipitation and soil moisture. In some regions, negative feedback is present (dry soil -> precipitation) such as Central US, Western Amazon, but in general, most of the places show positive feedback (wet soils -> precipitation).
Also, precipitation is triggered preferentially over heterogeneous soil moisture conditions.
Afternoon rain more likely over drier soils. Nature
The authors found negative feedback from satellite observations but an opposite signal in global climate models. They inferred that the coarse-scale climate models, which cannot resolve convective precipitation, is likely the case that they do not reconcile with observations.
Frequency of Sahelian storm initiation enhanced over mesoscale soil-moisture patterns Nat. Geos.
Idealized soil-moisture-induced flows (blue arrows) under light synoptic winds (black arrow) create an ascent region (large red arrow) where the shallow, strong current opposes the mean wind. The preferred location for convective initiation in this study coincides with the ascent region induced by the heating gradient at the downwind edge of the dry patch. Additional convergence over the dry patch is provided by a deep, weaker current at its upwind edge, and cross-wind gradients in soil moisture.
Dry soil moisture propogate to reduce downwind precipitation
Drought self-propagation in drylands due to land–atmosphere feedbacks
